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Red32
20420.9
5617.9
Blue16
7089.7
61818.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29330204060801003216

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
204
Unranked
20.90.7
19.019.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
618
Unranked
18.11.2
19.318.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
561
Unranked
7.91.2
10.311.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
708
Unranked
9.71.2
13.612.3
Auto
Teleop
End