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Red12
42220.9
38318.8
Blue95
61818.1
30421.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions432601001502002503001295

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
Unranked
20.95.8
29.123.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
304
Unranked
21.36.2
14.420.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
383
Unranked
18.86.2
14.07.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
618
Unranked
18.16.2
11.918.2
Auto
Teleop
End