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Red32
10216.3
8728.9
Blue45
12219.3
39823.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions494001001502003245

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
87
Unranked
28.90.8
26.125.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.3
398
Unranked
23.60.8
22.723.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
102
Unranked
16.31.3
22.921.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
122
Unranked
19.30.8
17.218.0
Auto
Teleop
End