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Red40
42220.9
31623.5
Blue43
22420.7
11437.8
69%Model gave it31%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions482504060801001201401604043

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
316
Unranked
23.51.0
25.224.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
224
Unranked
20.71.5
17.619.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
422
Unranked
20.91.0
22.321.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.0
1143
Unranked
7.81.5
7.08.5
Auto
Teleop
End