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Red65
48629.3
30011.1
Blue30
32118.4
34122.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364502060801001206530

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
486
Unranked
29.31.7
26.828.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.1
341
Unranked
22.21.7
24.622.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
300
Unranked
11.11.7
9.411.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.3
321
Unranked
18.42.4
20.718.4
Auto
Teleop
End