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Red80
38318.8
22420.7
Blue59
7089.7
48428.8
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364102060801008059

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
224
Unranked
20.71.4
19.120.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.1
484
Unranked
28.81.0
30.129.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
383
Unranked
18.81.4
16.918.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.1
708
Unranked
9.71.4
11.19.7
Auto
Teleop
End