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Red9
1587.6
121836.0
Blue70
118520.0
90313.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41370100150200250970

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1218
Unranked
36.04.1
26.122.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.9
1185
Unranked
20.04.1
19.523.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
158
Unranked
7.64.1
15.411.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.0
903
Unranked
13.64.1
17.121.2
Auto
Teleop
End