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Red70
30115.3
12823.8
Blue35
90313.6
28419.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25390501001507035

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
128
Unranked
23.83.1
14.717.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.4
284
Unranked
19.33.1
18.315.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
301
Unranked
15.33.1
10.213.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
903
Unranked
13.63.1
21.218.1
Auto
Teleop
End