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Red8
90313.6
13522.8
Blue10
120222.5
2883.8
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42230100150810

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
135
Unranked
22.81.3
24.122.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1202
Unranked
22.51.3
18.519.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
903
Unranked
13.61.3
18.116.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.8
288
Unranked
3.81.3
4.96.2
Auto
Teleop
End