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Red77
30115.3
512.7
Blue89
111418.8
29124.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274302060801001201407789

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
301
Unranked
15.30.3
12.813.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.9
291
Unranked
24.20.2
23.923.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5
Unranked
12.70.3
14.014.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.0
1114
Unranked
18.80.3
19.419.1
Auto
Teleop
End