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Red14
32238.6
11997.6
Blue16
6334.5
1171.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions453601001502002501416

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
322
Unranked
38.60.7
36.736.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
63
Unranked
34.50.4
33.734.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1199
Unranked
7.60.7
8.67.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.9
117
Unranked
1.70.7
2.63.3
Auto
Teleop
End