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Red80
12823.8
2768.2
Blue10
4911.3
512.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28290102040506070808010

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
128
Unranked
23.84.5
22.927.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.1
5
Unranked
12.74.5
14.39.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
276
Unranked
8.22.7
4.77.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.1
49
Unranked
11.34.5
14.710.3
Auto
Teleop
End