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Red30
29124.2
37916.0
Blue65
120222.5
118520.0
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384302060801001203065

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
291
Unranked
24.21.1
23.722.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
1202
Unranked
22.51.9
21.523.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
379
Unranked
16.01.1
14.012.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.1
1185
Unranked
20.01.9
21.623.5
Auto
Teleop
End