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Red18
120017.2
11915.8
Blue65
121836.0
1171.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions283802060801001201865

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1200
Unranked
17.22.3
17.014.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.8
1218
Unranked
36.02.2
34.736.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1191
Unranked
5.82.3
11.08.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
117
Unranked
1.72.2
3.35.5
Auto
Teleop
End