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Red34
44831.1
118520.0
Blue59
81618.4
32238.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5354203040607080903459

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
448
Unranked
31.10.9
30.329.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.5
322
Unranked
38.61.5
36.037.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1185
Unranked
20.01.5
23.522.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
816
Unranked
18.41.5
17.619.0
Auto
Teleop
End