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Red24
12823.8
1587.6
Blue32
51918.9
11997.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32280501001502002503003502432

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
128
Unranked
23.80.7
26.125.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.9
519
Unranked
18.90.7
18.519.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
158
Unranked
7.60.7
6.15.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
1199
Unranked
7.60.7
9.19.8
Auto
Teleop
End