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Red45
54827.3
81618.4
Blue33
111418.8
512.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions463102060801001201401604533

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
Unranked
27.30.2
26.926.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.5
1114
Unranked
18.80.2
21.021.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
816
Unranked
18.40.2
19.018.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.6
5
Unranked
12.70.2
9.79.8
Auto
Teleop
End