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Red8
27414.5
11997.6
Blue45
1587.6
90313.6
53%Model gave it47%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2417050100150200250845

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
274
Unranked
14.51.7
14.512.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
903
Unranked
13.62.2
11.413.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1199
Unranked
7.62.2
9.87.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
158
Unranked
7.62.2
5.47.6
Auto
Teleop
End