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Red100
13522.8
54827.3
Blue13
45120.9
4510.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4432020608010012014016010013

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
Unranked
27.34.7
22.727.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.4
451
Unranked
20.94.7
10.45.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
135
Unranked
22.84.7
21.125.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.4
45
Unranked
10.44.1
21.817.7
Auto
Teleop
End