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Red43
11519.3
10028.4
Blue38
10827.4
25439.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414502060801001201404338

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
100
Unranked
28.40.5
21.422.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.3
254
Unranked
39.70.5
27.326.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1151
Unranked
9.30.5
19.820.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
1082
Unranked
7.40.5
17.517.0
Auto
Teleop
End