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Red59
59932.6
25439.7
Blue6
11417.5
48131.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55340100150200250596

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
Unranked
39.72.0
26.828.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.9
481
Unranked
31.82.0
15.313.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
599
Unranked
32.62.0
28.430.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.1
114
Unranked
17.52.0
18.616.7
Auto
Teleop
End