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Red100
84116.4
48131.8
Blue2
11417.5
954-4.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions312004060801001201002

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
481
Unranked
31.85.5
17.022.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.3
114
Unranked
17.55.5
14.99.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
841
Unranked
16.45.5
13.919.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.0
954
Unranked
-4.75.5
5.2-0.2
Auto
Teleop
End