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Red67
69226.2
256-6.6
Blue41
37620.4
11519.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29470204060801001201406741

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
692
Unranked
26.22.8
27.830.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.8
376
Unranked
20.42.8
28.625.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
256
Unranked
-6.62.8
1.54.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.9
1151
Unranked
9.32.8
18.816.1
Auto
Teleop
End