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Red10
10972.6
11531.3
Blue12
66230.5
81412.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33400501001502001012

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115
Unranked
31.30.3
30.831.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
662
Unranked
30.50.3
23.923.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1097
Unranked
2.60.3
2.42.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.1
814
Unranked
12.70.3
16.416.1
Auto
Teleop
End