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Red42
10521.3
25439.7
Blue44
95017.1
29531.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4559020801001201404244

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
Unranked
39.70.6
39.039.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.7
295
Unranked
31.00.6
36.636.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1052
Unranked
1.30.6
5.96.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.8
950
Unranked
17.10.6
22.722.1
Auto
Teleop
End