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Red32
48131.8
954-4.7
Blue18
69226.2
114720.7
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1854040801001201401603218

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
481
Unranked
31.82.5
27.329.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.6
692
Unranked
26.22.7
28.225.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
954
Unranked
-4.72.5
-9.3-6.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 25.4
1147
Unranked
20.72.5
25.823.3
Auto
Teleop
End