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Red11
6451.8
84116.4
Blue40
25439.7
256-6.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2234060801001201401140

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
841
Unranked
16.40.7
16.816.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 23.3
254
Unranked
39.70.7
39.740.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
645
Unranked
1.80.7
4.94.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.3
256
Unranked
-6.60.7
-5.3-4.5
Auto
Teleop
End