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Red39
48131.8
10972.6
Blue38
48028.7
11519.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34330102040506070803938

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
481
Unranked
31.80.0
31.631.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
480
Unranked
28.70.0
27.027.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1097
Unranked
2.60.0
2.92.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.7
1151
Unranked
9.30.0
6.16.1
Auto
Teleop
End