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Red36
6451.8
59932.6
Blue34
81412.7
10521.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3716060801003634

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
599
Unranked
32.60.7
34.533.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.9
814
Unranked
12.70.7
12.913.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
645
Unranked
1.80.7
2.51.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
1052
Unranked
1.30.7
3.13.8
Auto
Teleop
End