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Red89
48131.8
114720.7
Blue27
48028.7
256-6.6
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions512204060801001201408927

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
481
Unranked
31.81.2
31.632.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
480
Unranked
28.71.2
27.025.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1147
Unranked
20.71.2
19.520.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 27.3
256
Unranked
-6.61.2
-5.1-6.3
Auto
Teleop
End