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Red62
59932.6
25439.7
Blue4
95325.4
81412.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73390206080100120140624

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
Unranked
39.70.3
40.240.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.3
953
Unranked
25.40.3
25.825.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
599
Unranked
32.60.3
33.133.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.9
814
Unranked
12.70.3
13.212.9
Auto
Teleop
End