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Red15
11531.3
29531.0
Blue8
69226.2
66230.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62550204080100120140158

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115
Unranked
31.30.0
31.431.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
662
Unranked
30.50.0
29.529.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
295
Unranked
31.00.0
31.031.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
692
Unranked
26.20.0
25.225.2
Auto
Teleop
End