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Red8
25825.0
84021.8
Blue10
84118.9
76617.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47360206080100120140810

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
258
Unranked
25.00.2
25.225.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.0
841
Unranked
18.90.2
18.818.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
840
Unranked
21.80.2
22.021.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
766
Unranked
17.10.2
16.917.1
Auto
Teleop
End