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Red30
48028.7
15911.4
Blue67
11419.2
25319.8
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38381020305060703067

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
480
Unranked
28.71.5
29.127.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.0
253
Unranked
19.82.6
18.020.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
159
Unranked
11.42.6
11.18.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.8
114
Unranked
19.21.5
17.919.5
Auto
Teleop
End