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Red18
25435.7
58111.4
Blue110
84634.1
76617.1
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6043010015020025018110

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
Unranked
35.74.1
37.633.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
846
Unranked
34.16.8
27.634.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
581
Unranked
11.46.8
22.315.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.7
766
Unranked
17.16.8
15.222.0
Auto
Teleop
End