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Red53
84118.9
67513.0
Blue49
107217.6
37612.3
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32320102040506070805349

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
841
Unranked
18.90.0
20.220.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
1072
Unranked
17.60.0
15.515.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
675
Unranked
13.00.0
14.214.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
376
Unranked
12.30.0
14.514.5
Auto
Teleop
End