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Red55
25319.8
48028.7
Blue7
70120.4
63219.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48410100150200250300350400557

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
480
Unranked
28.71.5
27.529.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.4
701
Unranked
20.42.6
22.019.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
253
Unranked
19.82.6
20.623.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
632
Unranked
19.22.6
19.016.5
Auto
Teleop
End