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Red61
11533.8
10021.4
Blue9
8271.9
84634.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55450100150200250619

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115
Unranked
33.81.6
33.635.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
846
Unranked
34.12.6
34.431.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
100
Unranked
21.41.6
21.823.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.5
827
Unranked
1.92.6
10.88.2
Auto
Teleop
End