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Red28
19236.3
1097-1.8
Blue85
11533.8
97318.0
37%Model gave it63%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33500204060801001201402885

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
192
Unranked
36.31.5
33.331.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
115
Unranked
33.81.5
35.637.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1097
Unranked
-1.81.5
-0.5-2.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.7
973
Unranked
18.02.5
14.917.3
Auto
Teleop
End