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Red59
15911.4
49227.6
Blue7
36836.4
37612.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2950020406080100120140160597

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
492
Unranked
27.64.6
19.624.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.8
368
Unranked
36.44.6
36.531.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
159
Unranked
11.44.6
9.614.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
376
Unranked
12.32.7
13.610.9
Auto
Teleop
End