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Red36
58111.4
64913.9
Blue22
11533.8
1097-1.8
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions283502060801001201403622

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
649
Unranked
13.91.3
16.617.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.9
115
Unranked
33.80.8
37.937.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
581
Unranked
11.41.3
11.212.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.1
1097
Unranked
-1.80.8
-2.8-3.6
Auto
Teleop
End