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Red6
10021.4
84021.8
Blue51
84634.1
112031.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48390100200300400500651

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
840
Unranked
21.83.4
19.916.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.3
846
Unranked
34.13.4
20.423.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
100
Unranked
21.42.1
28.426.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.0
1120
Unranked
31.43.3
25.021.6
Auto
Teleop
End