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Red26
25319.8
8271.9
Blue22
15911.4
99113.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24280204060802622

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
253
Unranked
19.80.5
18.118.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.5
991
Unranked
13.30.3
16.516.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
827
Unranked
1.90.5
6.36.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.5
159
Unranked
11.40.5
12.011.5
Auto
Teleop
End