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Red36
70120.4
409-0.0
Blue48
103129.1
10021.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1854040801001201403648

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
701
Unranked
20.41.4
19.020.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.8
1031
Unranked
29.11.3
31.330.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
409
Unranked
-0.01.3
-1.3-0.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 21.4
100
Unranked
21.40.9
22.321.4
Auto
Teleop
End