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Red140
14838.5
6532.7
Blue10
23126.6
5906.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3732020608010012014014010

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
Unranked
38.57.9
21.329.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.9
231
Unranked
26.67.9
21.213.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
653
Unranked
2.77.9
15.223.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.8
590
Unranked
6.57.9
11.03.1
Auto
Teleop
End