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Red56
44119.0
12015.0
Blue7
6607.7
4186.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3037050100150200250567

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
441
Unranked
19.03.5
16.820.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.3
660
Unranked
7.73.5
17.113.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1201
Unranked
5.03.5
13.216.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
418
Unranked
6.63.5
19.916.4
Auto
Teleop
End