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Red39
121417.6
23126.6
Blue9
116427.8
92215.2
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44390206080100399

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
231
Unranked
26.61.5
23.224.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
1164
Unranked
27.81.5
25.424.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1214
Unranked
17.61.6
21.322.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
922
Unranked
15.21.5
14.112.6
Auto
Teleop
End