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Red49
70412.8
7509.0
Blue70
5906.5
101020.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions241604060804970

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
704
Unranked
12.81.4
8.36.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.5
1010
Unranked
20.31.1
15.516.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
750
Unranked
9.01.6
15.714.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
590
Unranked
6.51.4
0.92.3
Auto
Teleop
End