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Red67
62422.4
120514.5
Blue8
121417.6
5721.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36450100150200678

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
Unranked
22.42.6
23.926.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
57
Unranked
21.12.6
23.621.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1205
Unranked
14.53.4
11.715.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
1214
Unranked
17.63.4
21.017.6
Auto
Teleop
End