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Red45
6532.7
3432.2
Blue110
43715.2
14838.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3949010015020025045110

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34
Unranked
32.22.0
33.631.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.3
148
Unranked
38.52.5
36.338.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
653
Unranked
2.72.5
5.22.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.6
437
Unranked
15.22.5
12.915.4
Auto
Teleop
End